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This paper is the second in a series of critiques of the assumption that stable economic relations exist between certain "firm characteristics" and expected returns. The paper explains why this is not the case for past returns and provides theoretical, empirical, and simulated evidence that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851651
Fund trades and prices vary systematically with the quarterly reporting cycle. Funds are more likely to complete the building of a position at quarter-end, which is when most funds report positions to investors, and begin building new positions afterwards. While some of the observed shift in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853490
We link a seemingly biased trading behavior to equilibrium asset prices. U.S. equity mutual fund managers tend to sell both their big winners and big losers. This selling pressure pushes down current prices and leads to higher future returns; aggregating across funds, we nd that securities for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856415
We quantify disagreement about the economy with ex-ante measures of divergence of opinion among economic forecasters and investigate if economic disagreement has a significant impact on the cross-sectional pricing of individual stocks. We find a significant disagreement premium of 7.2% per...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856755
I introduce a systematic portfolio choice solution that significantly beats a benchmark market portfolio by an average of 34.2% per year after transaction costs. The corresponding annual Sharpe ratio is 1.97 per year compared to 0.42, over 4.7 times the size of the benchmark. A more conservative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991918
The portfolio separating distribution is sufficient and necessary for a preference-free optimal choice only if the solution is assumed to be constant a priori. The portfolio separating condition is generalized. The new distribution class allowing for correlation uncertainty is defined as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040169
We study a dynamic contracting problem in continuous-time dynamically complete market general equilibrium, whereby an investor must delegate all his portfolio choice problems to a manager. This framework is one of the first attempts to attack a combined dynamic contracting and dynamic asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043235
Because dividends are taxed at a higher rate than capital gains, as stock with a higher yields should have a higher expected return than a stock whose return is expected to result mostly from price appreciation. Adding yield to the traditional Security Market Line results in a "market plane"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928355
Within a financial market where a risk-free bond and a long-lived risky asset are exchanged by investors with heterogeneous trading rules, we assume that the investors most exposed to the risky asset are subject to joint liquidation needs. The latter encompass a risk whenever the market impact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930535
the classical MV portfolio theory and the CAPM, is consistent with expected utility maximization for all risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934044