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A time-series basis decomposition and trend extraction technique known as Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD), designed for multi-scale time-frequency decomposition in non-stationary time-series settings, will be combined with Regularised Covariance Regression (RCR) methods to produce a framework...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348857
This paper estimates a bivariate HEAVY system including daily and intra-daily volatility equations and its macro …-augmented asymmetric power extension. It focuses on economic factors that exacerbate stock market volatility and represent major threats to … commodity markets on stock market realized volatility. Specifically, Economic Policy Uncertainty is shown to be one of the main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012158736
1.71% per annum. Consistent with theory, we find that the volatility of stocks with longer memory is more predictable …We examine long memory volatility in the cross-section of stock returns. We show that long memory volatility is … capitalization, book-to-market ratio, prior performance, and price jumps. Long memory volatility is negatively priced in the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900595
1.71% per annum. Consistent with theory, we find that the volatility of stocks with longer memory is more predictable …This paper examines long memory volatility in the cross-section of stock returns. We show that long memory volatility … capitalization, book-to-market ratio, prior performance and price jumps. Long memory volatility is negatively priced in the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011750708
firms with high dividend volatility have (i) higher risk premia, (ii) a strongly pro-cyclical slope in their term structure …-pricing model with heterogeneity in dividend volatility and time-varying market price of risk that explains my empirical results …I study a novel data set of short-term dividend futures contracts for individual stocks. I combine this data with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043334
We develop an intertemporal asset pricing model where cash flow news, discount rate news, and their second moments are priced by the market. This model generalizes the market return decomposition framework, showing that intertemporal considerations imply a decomposition of squared market returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901111
law of one price, and is present in all but risk-neutral economies. We test the cross-sectional predictions of our theory … equity than for assets, and stronger for more levered firms — consistent with the theory. We test also the timeseries … implications of the theory. Time variation in asset ivol causes time variation in the option value of equity that translates into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910108
We show that in a consumption-based asset-pricing model with hyperbolic discounting leading to dynamically inconsistent time preferences value premium increases nonlin-early with the degree of discounting and thus affects cross section of returns. To test our model empirically, we relate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009751115
Sellers of variance swaps earn time-varying risk premia for their exposure to realized variance, the level of variance swap rates, and the slope of the variance swap curve. To measure risk premia, we estimate a dynamic term structure model that decomposes variance swap rates into expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523781
This paper decomposes the risk premia of individual stocks into contributions from systematic and idiosyncratic risks. I introduce an affine jump-diffusion model, which accounts for both the factor structure of asset returns and that of the variance of idiosyncratic returns. The estimation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410917