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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010942505
Sovereign debt crises have been recurrent events over the past two centuries. In recent years, the timing of sovereign crises has coincided or has directly followed banking crises. The link between sovereigns and banks tightened as the contingent liability that the banking sector represents for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010784199
We investigate the effects of U.S. unconventional monetary policies on sovereign yields, foreign exchange rates, and stock prices in emerging market economies (EMEs), and we analyze how these effects depend on country-specifc characteristics. We find that, although EME asset prices, mainly those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010787059
is characterized by countercyclical default risk. In this paper we develop a quantitative dynamic stochastic small open economy model with incomplete markets,endogenous fiscal policy and sovereign and private sector default where public expenditures and tax rates are optimally procyclical. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011080410
established in the literature.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011080695
the state of the economy, they also feature thresholds of the chosen real variable that trigger payments. We argue that the latter are typically suboptimal.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011080970
This paper builds a model of sovereign debt in which default risk, interest rates, and debt depend not only on current fundamentals but also on news about future fundamentals. News shocks affect equilibrium outcomes because they contain information about the future ability of the government to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011081304
A large body of the empirical literature shows that high turnover rates/length of tenure of policymakers and the degree of conflict within a country affects sovereign spreads, debt and default rates. We help to rationalize such claims by including these political features in a dynamic stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005527231
Emerging economies tend to experience larger political uncertainty and more default episodes than developed countries. This paper studies the effect of political uncertainty on sovereign default and interest rate spreads in emerging markets. The paper develops a quantitative model of sovereign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004967923
Emerging economies tend to experience larger fluctuations in their terms of trade, countercyclical interest rates and more default episodes than developed countries. These structural features might suggest a relevant role for world prices in driving country spreads. This paper studies the role...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004967934