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This paper shows that an important link between investor sentiment and firm overvaluation is optimistic earnings expectations, and that management earnings guidance aids in resolving sentiment-driven overvaluation. Using the firm characteristics identified by Baker and Wurgler (2006), we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070726
We analyze the earnings information and stock prices of S&P500 firms and find that investors following S&P500 stocks (i) respond more to pro forma earnings than to GAAP earnings, (ii) respond to an emphasis on pro forma earnings, and (iii) are fixated on pro forma earnings. We provide the first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072264
We study the predictability of exchange rates of currencies of emerging and developed economies from 1994 to 2016 to shed light on the efficiency of currency markets and how it evolved over this time. For the currencies of emerging economies, our analysis of futures returns finds some evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964258
This study investigates individual and institutional trading in competing firms around earnings announcements. We find individual and institutional informed trading in competing firms, which is dominant prior to earnings announcements. Magnitude of institutional (individual) net order flow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000859
Our study examines whether behavioural theories can explain post-earnings announcement drift (i.e., earnings momentum) in the Spanish market. In particular, we test models proposed by Daniel, Hirshleifer, and Subrahmanyan (1998), Hong and Stein (1999), and Barberis, Shleifer, and Vishny (1998)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155150
We find that both institutional owners and short sellers decrease their positions prior to earnings announcements, and increase their positions in the post-announcement period. Pre-announcement changes in institutional holdings and short interest have significant explanatory power with respect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158792
Using a sample of NASDAQ firms we investigate informed trading in the limit order book (LOB) prior to earnings announcements. Consistent with recent limit order theory, and in contrast to classic adverse selection models, we show that informed traders supply liquidity. Relative to a sample of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908947
Prior studies show that investor learning about earnings-based return predictors from academic research erodes return predictability. However, the signaling power of “bottom-line” earnings has declined over time, which complicates assessments of investor learning about profitability signals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891102
Theory offers three main determinants of informationally driven trading volume at earnings announcements: pre-announcement difference in private information precision, belief divergence or differential interpretation, and signal strength. In this paper, we empirically test which theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895535
Post-earnings announcement drift is stronger in firms that release earnings on days when market returns are higher in magnitude. This drift remains robust after controlling for previously documented factors such as Friday releases, the number of simultaneous releases, and price delay measure....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899887