For many analysts, the Chinese economy is spurred by a bubble in the housing market, probably driven by the fiscal stimulus package and massive credit expansion, with possible adverse effects to the real economy. To get insights into the size of the bubble, the house price evolution is...

Housing prices in the US rose rapidly from 2000-2007Q3. Based on this evidence, the financial and general press concluded the US experienced a housing bubble. The efficient market theory denies the possibility of a bubble. This paper applies the statistical technique of cointegration to...

The recent US Real Estate Bubble had consequences not only for the real economy but for the stock market as well. Real Estate Investment Trusts' (REITS) prices reached levels which could not be supported by their fundamentals until mid-2007. Using this observation as a starting point we examine...

We develop new measures to detect income falsification on mortgage applications during the housing bubble. We find that regulators failed to prevent income falsification. Additionally, regulatory requirements imposed on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the “GSEs”) to promote lending in...

Using a large-scale online survey experiment, we study the effects of changes in three borrower-based macroprudential policy tools, residential loan-to-value (LTV), debt-to-income, and buy-to-let LTV ratio, on British consumers’ housing market expectations. A policy loosening generally leads...

Explaining asset price booms poses a difficult question for researchers in macroeconomics: how can large and persistent price growth be explained in the absence large and persistent variation in fundamentals? This paper argues that boom-bust behavior in asset prices can be explained by a model...