Showing 91 - 100 of 348
We study a new ensemble of random correlation matrices related to multivariate Student (or more generally elliptic) random variables. We establish the exact density of states of empirical correlation matrices that generalizes the Marcenko-Pastur result. The comparison between the theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084095
The concepts of scale invariance, self-similarity and scaling have been fruitfully applied to the study of price fluctuations in financial markets. After a brief review of the properties of stable Levy distributions and their applications to market data we indicate the shortcomings of such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084134
The simplest field theory description of the multivariate statistics of forward rate variations over time and maturities, involves a quadratic action containing a gradient squared rigidity term. However, this choice leads to a spurious kink (infinite curvature) of the normalized correlation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084296
We study the statistics of earning forecasts of US, EU, UK and JP stocks during the period 1987-2004. We confirm, on this large data set, that financial analysts are on average over-optimistic and show a pronounced herding behavior. These effects are time dependent, and were particularly strong...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084381
We review the recently introduced concept of variety of a financial portfolio and we sketch its importance for risk control purposes. The empirical behaviour of variety, correlation, exceedance correlation and asymmetry of the probability density function of daily returns is discussed. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084426
We show how one can actually take advantage of the strongly non-Gaussian nature of the fluctuations of financial assets to simplify the calculation of the Value-at-Risk of complex non linear portfolios. The resulting equations are not hard to solve numerically, and should allow fast VaR and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017957
It is commonly believed that the correlations between stock returns increase in high volatility periods. We investigate how much of these correlations can be explained within a simple non-Gaussian one-factor description with time independent correlations. Using surrogate data with the true...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017958
We investigate present some new statistical properties of order books. We analyse data from the Nasdaq and investigate (a) the statistics of incoming limit order prices, (b) the shape of the average order book, and (c) the typical life time of a limit order as a function of the distance from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017959
We investigate quantitatively the so-called leverage effect, which corresponds to a negative correlation between past returns and future volatility. For individual stocks, this correlation is moderate and decays exponentially over 50 days, while for stock indices, it is much stronger but decays...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017960
We present a exactly soluble model for financial time series that mimics the long range volatility correlations known to be present in financial data. Although our model is `monofractal' by construction, it shows apparent multiscaling as a result of a slow crossover phenomenon on finite time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017961