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This study assesses the response of the trade balance to exchange rate fluctuations across a large number of countries. Fixed-effects regressions are estimated for 87 countries on annual data from 1994 to 2010. The trade balance improves significantly after a real depreciation, and to a similar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009739791
This paper empirically examines the long-run pass through of the official exchange rates into trade balance in Nigeria by means of threshold cointegration and asymmetric error correction modeling. The study provides evidence for non-linear cointegration between our variables of interest. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449671
This study examines the impact of exchange rate on trade flow in Nigeria from 1986 to 2021. The study utilises linear and nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL and NARDL) models to test the J-Curve hypothesis and the Marshall-Lerner condition in Nigeria. The study found symmetric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364280
This paper uses a Ricardian framework to clarify the role of microeconomic and macroeconomic factors governing the time series and cross-section behavior of sectoral trade balances. Unit labor costs and trade balances are calculated for several sectors for the seven major industrial countries....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781798
A reduced-form model approach was used to estimate the trade balance response to permanent domestic currency depreciation. For this purpose, long-run and short-run effects were estimated, using three modeling methods along with two real effective exchange rate measures. On average, a 1 percent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783198
Although asset price is an important factor in determining changes in external balances, no studies have investigated it from the Chinese perspective. In this study, I empirically examine the underlying driving forces of China's trade balances, particularly the role of asset price and the real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909657
Until 2012, the Central Bank of Iran (CBI) used its policy rate to stabilise the rial's exchange rate and, given a persistent current-account surplus, had accumulated sizeable currency reserves. In 2012, however, international sanctions against Iran intensified and the value of the rial halved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012285456
This paper empirically investigates the impact of change in exchange rate on export and import flows between Slovakia and its major trading partners. Devaluation or depreciation of a currency worsens the trade balance before improving it, resulting in a J-curve pattern. For the purpose of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460568
This study examined the short-run and long-run effects of real exchange rate changes on the Nigeria's trade balance. The paper employed both linear and non-linear ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration to test for the J-curve phenomenon in Nigeria using quarterly data spanning the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348398
The literature of trade balance and exchange rate devaluation have enjoyed enormous reviews with different decays ranging from aggregation bias, specification bias to the exclusion of effects of structural breaks on bilateral trade flows. This motivates this study to investigate the J-curve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013215454