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Vector autoregressive moving-average (VARMA) processes are suitable models for producing linear forecasts of sets of time series variables. They provide parsimonious representations of linear data generation processes. The setup for these processes in the presence of stationary and cointegrated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023700
This paper examines the feasibility of implementing Linear Quadratic Gaussian (LQG) Control in structural cointegrated VAR models and sheds some light on the two major problems generated by such implementation. The first aspect to be taken into account is the effect of the presence of unit roots...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635883
handling of cointegration restrictions. This paper extends the Bayesian analysis of structural VARs to cover cointegrated … processes with an arbitrary number of cointegrating relations and general linear restrictions on the cointegration space. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636519
Examples of simple economic theory models are analyzed as restrictions on the Cointegrated VAR (CVAR). This establishes …. -- Cointegrated VAR ; unit root approximation ; economic theory models ; expectations ; hybrid new Keynesian Phillips curve ; general …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003785323
corresponding Gaussian likelihood ratio test for the cointegrating rank. -- Cointegration ; structural break ; vector autoregressive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003376003
test for cointegration rank, which is a functional of fractional Brownian motion of type II. -- Cofractional processes … ; cointegration rank ; fractional cointegration ; likelihood inferencw ; vector autoregressive model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003981839
) processes. The linear VAR model is extendedto permit cointegration, a range of deterministic processes, equilibrium restrictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380727
This paper measures the pass-through of exchange rate changes into domestic inflation within a cointegrated VAR (CVAR) framework. This issue is of particular interest for the euro area (EA) as Member Sates cede their national currencies and no longer have options of using monetary policy to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346364
for size correction. -- Cointegration ; weak exogeneity ; bootstrap test ; Subset VECM …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620777
We suggest improved tests for cointegration rank in the vector au- toregressive (VAR) model and develop asymptotic … distribution theory and local power results. The tests are (quasi-)likelihood ratio tests based on a Gaussian likelihood, but of … local power of the proposed tests dominates that of existing cointegration rank tests. -- Cointegration rank ; efficiency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621711