At the epicenter of the 2008 financial crisis was the shadow banking system, which conducts liquidity and maturity transformation by investing in long-term assets and financing them through collateralized debts with very short maturity, such as asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP) and repurchase...

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to propose an object-oriented model of financial simulations which aims to test the applicability and suitability of the proposed measures of Basel III with respect to the prevention of banking crises.Design/Methodology/Approach - We introduce an...

Sovereign debt crises have been recurrent events over the past two centuries. In recent years, the timing of sovereign crises has coincided or has directly followed banking crises. The link between sovereigns and banks tightened as the contingent liability that the banking sector represents for...

A number of economists argue that household deleveraging can exert a significant drag on the economic recovery by weighing on consumption. Using a sample of OECD countries, this paper finds evidence of a negative relationship between household saving rates and changes in debt-to-income ratios....

This paper compares the determinants of banking sector crises in a diverse cross-country panel. We cover 152 countries using annual data from 1990 to 2011. We provide three main contributions: (i) accommodating different influences on banking sector fragility (banking sector, macroeconomic and...

A large share of dollar-denominated lending is done by non-U.S. banks, particularly European banks. We present a model in which such banks cut dollar lending more than euro lending in response to a shock to their credit quality. Because these banks rely on wholesale dollar funding, while raising...

The COVID-19 pandemic has exerted severe impacts on the socioeconomic fabric of worldwide countries, spreading financial and economic instability, affecting sentiment of market participants and institutions, and causing an unprecedented epidemic-related economic crisis. Interconnectedness is a...

We study how foreign financial developments influence the conditional distribution of domestic GDP growth. Within a quantile regression setup, we propose a method to parsimoniously account for foreign vulnerabilities using bilateral-exposure weights when assessing downside macroeconomic risks....

Motivated by a recognition of the increased vulnerability of the banking sector to the COVID-19 pandemic, we examine market-based systemic risk and connectedness in the banking sector of Gulf Cooperation Council member countries, which include Bahrain, Kuwait, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA),...

This paper presents an early warning system for predicting banking crises specifically tailored to developed small open economies. The model considers two sources of financial instability: Domestic macro-financial imbalances and exposure to foreign banking systems with high crisis risk. Exposure...