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In this paper, the behavioral equilibrium exchange rate (BEER) model used in a time-series setting is investigated, via its application to the valuation of Chinese renminbi. A classical definition with its generalization is given. The different misalignment results derived from the BEER models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102922
Engel and Zhu (2017) revisit a number of major exchange rate puzzles and conduct empirical tests to compare the behaviour of real exchange rates among pairs of economies that have rigidly fixed nominal exchange rates with their behaviour among pairs of economies under floating rates. They find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012923004
We empirically test the validity of four popular monetary exchange rate models under five alternative inflation expectation approximations using the NOK/USD exchange rate. The selection of Norway seems appropriate as it is a small open economy that does not participate in most economic or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953815
The interactions between exchange rates, nominal interest rates and inflation in transition period of Bulgaria were investigated. The motivation is to draw policy inferences for small transition economy with an emerging market. The techniques appropriate for the data which is low in both quality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014159807
We construct a model in which the real exchange rate is affected by the real interest rate and price differentials as well as real factors that cause shocks to the expected flexible-price equilibrium value of the real exchange rate. The model is then employed to test for the "generalized"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014085409
Beginning from the classical theory of purchasing power parity, we will probe into the reasonability of RMB exchange rates step by step. Purchasing power parity requires that the de facto exchange rate should remain constant, which is not true in reality, because real impact, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957398
Following the debate on exchange rate stabilization within the ASEAN 3, this paper presents a new approach to the determination of real equilibrium exchange rates in the region based on a general equilibrium approach. Based on the real bilateral export and import flows across the region, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017607
This paper re-investigates the implications of monetary policy rules on changes in exchange rate, in a risk-adjusted, uncovered interest parity model with unrestricted parameters, emphasizing the importance of modeling market expectations of monetary policy. I use consensus forecasts as a proxy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991036
This paper brings two new insights into the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) debate. First, even if PPP is thought to hold only in the long run, we show that a half-life PPP model outperforms the random walk in real exchange rate forecasting, also at short-term horizons. Second, we show that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007867
Korea's real exchange rate has displayed a mild downward trend since the 1980s, with fluctuations of ±20 percent around that trend. This pattern is surprising because the classic Harrod-Balassa-Samuelson framework suggests that countries experiencing rapid growth in the productivity of their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056095