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consumption, financial wealth, housing wealth and labor income (summarized by the variable cday) should predict better U ….K. quarterly stock market returns than a variable like cay from Lettau and Ludvigson (2001), which considers aggregate wealth … of asset wealth; and (ii) the faster rate of convergence of the coefficients to the long-run equilibrium parameters …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014065020
asymmetry are usually considered as mutually exclusive. Using a single data set for US personal consumption, income and wealth … wealth declines can have considerable negative consumption effects in the short run, households have apparently been able, in … the longer run, to substantially increase consumption expenditure following income and wealth increases, but to keep the …
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This paper proposes a new approach for modeling investor fear after rare disasters. The key element is to take into account that investors' information about fundamentals driving rare downward jumps in the dividend process is not perfect. Bayesian learning implies that beliefs about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010387528
Based on OECD evidence, equity/housing-price busts and credit crunches are followed by substantial increases in public consumption. These increases in unproductive public spending lead to increases in distortionary marginal taxes, a policy in sharp contrast with presumably optimal Keynesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932442
impatience. We then explore how RI affects the equilibrium joint dynamics of consumption, income and wealth, and find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185458
consumption, income and wealth, and find that elastic attention can make the model fit the data better. We finally show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108002
This paper studies the dynamics of durable and nondurable consumption under two alternative assumptions about information updating by households – rational inattention and sticky expectations. We first show that the two types of sticky information diffusion can help generate strong excess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115894