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The accuracy of macroeconomic forecast depends on various factors, most importantly the mix of analytical methods used by the individual forecasters, the way that their personal experience is shaping their identification strategies, but also their efficiency in translating new information into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136127
Canada's per capita income is often compared with the United States. These comparisons focus on differences in the levels of income and whether the gap between the two countries is narrowing or widening.Statistics Canada and the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) each produce a myriad of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143925
The article criticizes the recent Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Report arguing that the suggestion of developing a series of indicators that would complement the traditional GDP will in fact end up in confirming the centrality of the GDP, which would remain the central theoretical reference point as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113875
This paper makes use of both output and income statistics derived from the System of National Accounts to examine performance in the three North American countries. In doing so, the paper follows recommendations contained in the System of National Accounts 1993 (SNA 1993) for calculating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121017
This paper uses a gravity model of migration to analyze how income differentials affect the flow of immigrants into U.S. states using annual data from the American Community Survey. We add to existing literature by decomposing income differentials into short- and long-term components and by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108227
Revised Canadian real GNP estimates for the 1870-1926 period, based on the nominal GNP estimates constructed by M. C. Urquhart and on a variety of sector-specific price indexes, are presented. The construction of this revised real GNP series allows for the creation of real output estimates for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148951
Gross domestic product's high correlation with unemployment and inflation makes it a key measure of the U.S. economy. Yet the somewhat arbitrary nature of the GDP construction process complicates interpretation and measurement of the indicator. A study of an alternative measure of GDP designed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153329
In this paper, we try to understand whether measures of GDP per capita taken from the national accounts or measures of mean income or consumption derived from household surveys better proxy for true income per capita. We propose a data-driven method to assess the relative quality of GDP per...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055649
China's official real GDP growth has held surprisingly stable in recent years. As national GDP figures influence both policy analysis and political decisions, the GDP growth rate of the massive Chinese economy has also great international implications. Taking the nominal GDP growth and price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895518
We document that aggregate accounting earnings growth is an incrementally significant leading indicator of growth in nominal Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Professional macro forecasters, however, do not fully incorporate the predictive content embedded in publicly available accounting earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063750