This paper analyses the causal relationship between gold production costs and gold prices using a hand-collected set of country and company data on gold mining. We find strong econometric evidence for causality running from gold prices to gold production costs. The results are supported...

In this paper we use a test developed by Phillips et al. (2011) to identify a bubble in the gold market. We find that the price of gold followed an explosive price process between 2002 and 2012 interrupted only briefly by the subprime crisis in 2008. We also provide a theoretical foundation for...

This paper analyzes the long-run relationship between gold and silver prices. We closely follow Escribano and Granger (1998) and extend their study. We use a longer sample period from 1970-2011 and study the role of bubbles and financial crises for the relationship between gold and silver...

The increase in the price of gold between 2002 and 2011 appears to be a candidate for a potential asset price ‘bubble', suggesting that chartists (feedback traders) were highly active in the gold market during this period. Hence, this paper develops and tests empirically several models...

We propose to estimate the variance of a time series of financial returns through a quantile autoregressive model (QAR) and demonstrate that the return QAR model contains all information that is commonly captured in two separate equations for the mean and variance of a GARCH-type model. In...

This paper uses a theoretical model to analyse the dynamic relationship of virtual currency with fiat currency. The model demonstrates that the price impact of potential users and speculators in virtual currencies adversely affects their property as a medium of exchange and renders a crowding...

In December 2017, both the CBOE and the CME introduced futures contracts on bitcoin. We investigate to what extent they provide useful information for the price discovery of bitcoin. We rely on the information share methodology of Hasbrouck (1995) and Gonzalo and Granger (1995) and find that the...

This paper uses a simple model based on the board game Monopoly to analyze the drivers of house prices and wealth inequality. Simulations show that the inequality depends on the timing and distribution of home ownership, house price growth and wage growth. An extension of the classical game with...

The volatility of equity returns generally exhibits an asymmetric reaction to positive and negative shocks. Economic explanations for this phenomenon are leverage and a volatility feedback effect. This paper studies the volatility of gold and demonstrates that there is an inverted asymmetric...

This paper analyses the share prices of the world's largest car manufacturers with a focus on the sensitivity to the price of lithium. Most car manufacturers display no relationship with the price of lithium except seven manufacturers, of which six are Chinese and exhibit strong positive lithium...