Two competing paradigms to modelling the impacts of regional economic shocks have arisen: ‘disequilibrium’ models, which predict that regional economies eventually fully recover, and ‘no-equilibrium’ models, which predict economic shocks have a permanent effect. To address this...

Empirical models of regional adjustment often control for aggregate effects when estimating the impact of region-specific shocks on local economies. It is, however, difficult to filter out the effects of aggregate shocks—such as oil shocks, uncertainty shocks, or national recessions—because...

The share of national income going to labour in New Zealand fell substantially between the 1970s and the end of the century. Approximately half of this decline was then recovered in the following decade. In this paper, we argue that the decline from the mid-1980s onwards is due to public sector...

We examine whether New Zealand home sellers are loss averse. Our empirical method is based on a large dataset of residential real estate transactions that exploits the most recent substantive housing downturn of 2007–2009. Consistent with loss aversion, we find that houses predicted to sell at...

We propose a new forecast combination method for panel data vector autoregressions that permit limited forms of parameterized heterogeneity (including fixed effects or incidental trends). Models are fitted using bias-corrected least squares in order to attenuate the effects of small sample bias...

The decade following the global financial crisis (GFC) has witnessed rampant house price appreciation in many cities of the developed world. The metropolitan centres of New Zealand showcase this phenomenon with house price appreciation persistently outpacing income growth. In Auckland, the ratio...

Loss aversion is a widely-recognized cognitive bias that can affect house price determination. Existing empirical approaches to quantify its effects require hedonic methods to predict what prices would be in the absence of loss aversion. However, conventional methods for making this...

This paper presents a framework for assessing the long-run effects of zoning reform on urban development, housing construction, and dwelling prices. We begin by developing a version of the monocentric model of the city that features regulatory restrictions on the capital intensity of housing...