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We propose and backtest a multivariate Value-at-Risk model for financial returns based on Tukey's g-and-h distribution. This distributional assumption is especially useful if (conditional) asymmetries as well as heavy tails have to be considered and fast random sampling is of importance. To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138164
models of volatility and correlation (Engle (2009), McNeil et al. (2005, chapter 4.6)) …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115707
We introduce a new model for time-varying spatial dependence. The model extends the well-known static spatial lag model. All parameters can be estimated conveniently by maximum likelihood. We establish the theoretical properties of the model and show that the maximum likelihood estimator for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049149
We apply the concept of transfer entropy to quantify information flows between financial time series. Transfer entropy is a model-free measure designed as the Kullback-Leibler distance of transition probabilities. This approach allows to determine information transfer without being restricted to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976357
In this paper, we develop econometric tools to analyze the integrated volatility (IV) of the efficient price and the … estimators of the variance and autocovariances of noise using a variant of realized volatility. Next, we employ these estimators …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860921
Various parametric models have been developed to predict large volatility matrices, based on the approximate factor … model structure. They mainly focus on the dynamics of the factor volatility with some finite high-order moment assumptions …. However, the empirical studies have shown that the idiosyncratic volatility also has a dynamic structure and it comprises a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211439
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009242519
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895015
This paper considers a sparsity approach for inference in large vector autoregressive (VAR) models. The approach is based on a Bayesian procedure and a graphical representation of VAR models. We discuss a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for sparse graph selection, parameter estimation, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005518
measurement in economics. Unlike econometrics, ML models are not designed for parameter estimation and inference, but similar to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013475217