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negative GDP shock in China (equivalent to a one-off one percent growth shock) could have significant global macroeconomic …China's GDP growth slowdown and a surge in global financial market volatility could both adversely affect an already …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969747
negative GDP shock in China (equivalent to a one-off one percent growth shock) could have significant global macroeconomic …China's GDP growth slowdown and a surge in global financial market volatility could both adversely affect an already …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983788
In this paper, we outline material and capital linkages across sectors to quantify the role of the German production network in amplifying sectoral dynamics on aggregate trend gross domestic product growth. This allows us to study the impact of sectoral labor input and total factor productivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528208
In this article, we provide new, novel evidence for a more recent structural break (in 2010) indicating a greater moderation of output volatility compared to the well-known break during the mid-1980s. The period of analysis runs from 1962Q2 to 2018Q3. It covers 26 OECD countries. In terms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012147010
world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … vividly illustrated. This paper investigates how changes in trade linkages between China, Latin America, and the rest of the … times since mid-1990s. At the same time, the long-term impact of a US GDP shock has halved, while the transmission of shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627525
shock. The impact could be larger if China's slowdown and rebalancing coincides with bouts of global financial volatility …After many years of rapid expansion, China's growth is slowing to more sustainable levels and is rebalancing, with … financial markets. It finds that countries with closer trade linkages with China (Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand) and net …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977796
The recent slowdown of the People's Republic of China (PRC) has led to question to what extent the PRC demand of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011579549
We analyze how trade affects aggregate volatility using a multi-country, multiindustry, and multi-destination framework. We decompose aggregate output growth risk into destination risk, origin risk, and idiosyncratic risk (and their covariances). We then use this framework to run counterfactuals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256580
The recent slowdown of the People's Republic of China (PRC) has led to question to what extent the PRC demand of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012980862
Using panel data for a large number of countries, we find that economic contractions are not followed by offsetting fast recoveries. Trend output lost is not regained, on average. Wars, crises, and other negative shocks lead to absolute divergence and lower long-run growth, whereas we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012780769