Showing 121 - 130 of 777,449
This paper studies the potential for complex asset return dynamics in a high-frequency, non-fundamental feedback trading model. Price adjustment is driven by the time-varying price impact of net orderflow. In tranquil times feedback trading has no impact on the price level. Given feedback...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104196
We study the implications of the quality of information about the business cycle for the pricing of defensive and cyclical stocks in a general equilibrium framework. We rely on a two-tree Lucas-style endowment economy in which the business cycle is modeled as an unobservable mean reverting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090810
market volatility beyond the volatility of macroeconomic fundamentals: (1) an increase in SVI is associated with higher … volatility in both time series and cross section; (2) causal effects run mainly from SVI to volatility. In addition, SVI is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091387
This paper develops a new approach for variance trading. We show that the discretely-sampled realized variance can be robustly replicated under very general conditions, including when the price can jump. The replication strategy specifies the exact timing for rebalancing in the underlying. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067300
and herding among investors on the price bubble and excess return volatility. There are two classes of analysts one of … and the excess volatility is exaggerated especially when they are both huge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964278
This paper estimates global bad and good uncertainties from monthly data on industrial production from a large set of countries. Bad and good uncertainties have opposite effects on macro aggregates and stock returns. An increase in bad uncertainty adversely impacts both, while an increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000053
We disentangle the risk of time-varying volatility and return in a consumption-based asset pricing model by introducing … stochastic volatility of consumption growth to asset prices moving in volatility units instead of moving in time. This time …-change approach yields additional insights to risk premia's composition. We explore stochastic volatility empirically where it eases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926553
greater risk-free rate volatility. But raising the prior uncertainty on dividend growth rates has ambiguous effects on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150931
This study investigates the relation between volatility in the returns and trading volume adjusted for overall up … variance equation of the GARCH(1,1) model tend to reduce persistence in volatility more than the contemporaneous and lagged … trading volume. The overnight non-trading period downward price movement induced trading volume affect conditional volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156830
We study how the excess market return depends on the time of the day using E-mini S&P 500 futures that are actively traded for almost 24 hours. Strikingly, four hours around European open account for the entire average market return. This period's returns are consistently positive in every year,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834630