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S&P 500 Index option-based volatility indexes have untenable risk-return profiles. These volatility indexes are not … designed with consideration of important real-world risk characteristics of options and fail to represent volatility as a … cardinal characteristics of options on S&P 500 Index, central to designing viable volatility investment strategies, are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865881
We reexamine the evolution of the idiosyncratic volatility (IV) of US firms between 1962 and 2016. We theoretically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850335
Stock and Treasury bond comovement, volatilities, and their relations to their price valuations and fundamentals change stochastically over time, both in magnitude and direction. These stochastic changes are explained by a general equilibrium model in which agents learn about composite economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095027
This paper finds that price inefficiency in individual stocks contributes to expected idiosyncratic volatility. If …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076721
For underlying asset motions calibrating skewness and kurtosis beyond the volatility it becomes possible to consider …. Markovian discrete time approximations are simulated to incorporate stochasticity in all three entities, volatility, skewness … stochasticity in volatility and skewness. Implications for a log normal volatility of volatility are presented along with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306938
This paper examines continuous-time models for the S&P 100 index and its constituents. We find that the jump process of the typical stock looks significantly different than that of the index. Most importantly, the average size of a jumps in the returns of the typical stock is positive, while it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013465942
Stock prices aggregate the beliefs of different investors. Using this insight, we estimate the fraction of stock market investors holding survey beliefs. We find that 42% of investors hold beliefs matching those of equity analysts and 25% hold beliefs as observed in individual investor return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238395
The idiosyncratic volatility effect of Ang et al. (2006) is robust to restricting the sample to NYSE firms (once proper … volatility effect is also unlikely to stem from the short-run reversal of Jegadeesh (1990), as the idiosyncratic volatility … effect stays significant for about six months. The idiosyncratic volatility effect also does not seem to weaken post-publication …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238940
ambiguity leads to portfolio inertia and excess volatility. Specifically, when news is surprising, then investors may not react … volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133587
We contrast two different asset pricing models, where the pricing kernel either (i) increases in the volatility … dimension, reflecting investors' aversion to volatility, or (ii) could be non-monotonic in volatility, reflecting heterogeneity … in investors' beliefs. The two models yield opposite predictions about volatility tail behavior, whereby the model with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115088