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relationship between the Iranian oil supply and international oil prices from January 1973 - September 2011, using a modified …
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cycle fluctuations and we control for global supply and demand factors that might affect the real price of oil, its …Dieser Beitrag untersucht den Einfluss von Ölpreisunsicherheit auf die Wirtschaftsaktivität der USA mit Hilfe eines VAR …
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This paper provides new indices of global macroeconomic uncertainty and investigates the cross-country transmission of uncertainty using a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model. The indices measure the dispersion of forecasts that results from parameter uncertainty in the GVAR. Relying on...
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We propose an approach for jointly measuring global macroeconomic uncertainty and bilateral spillovers of uncertainty between countries using a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model. Over the period 2000Q1-2020Q4, our global index is able to summarize a variety of uncertainty measures, such...
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.S. economy has apparently absorbed this supply shock well so far, the path of future oil prices remains a concern for monetary …
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We study how credit supply shocks in the US, the euro area and Japan are transmitted to other economies. We use the … effect of reducing credit supply to the private sector. We find that negative US credit supply shocks have stronger negative … effects on domestic and foreign GDP, compared to credit supply shocks from the euro area and Japan. Domestic and foreign …
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