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This paper analyses the macroeconomic effects of a protracted period of low and falling inflation rates when monetary … terms (debt-deflation channel). In this scenario, even cost-push shocks that in normal circumstances would reduce inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025618
We propose a new approach to analyze economic shocks. Our new procedure identifies economic shocks as exogenous shifts in a function; hence, we call them "functional shocks." We show how to identify such shocks and how to trace their effects in the economy via VARs using "VARs with functional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795633
In this paper we investigate the impact of the recent US unemployment benefits extension on the labor market dynamic when the nominal interest rate is held at the zero lower bound (ZLB). Using a New Keynesian model, our quantitative experiments suggest that, in contrast to the existing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010251606
Recent developments in many industrialized countries have triggered a debate on whether monetary policy is effective when the nominal interest rate is close to zero. When the nominal interest rate hits its lower bound, the monetary authority is no longer in a position to pursue a policy of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089396
Both interest rates and inflation rates in the Euro area have reached levels dangerously close to zero. By the strategy … argued that the inflation forecasts of the ECB are central for the communication strategy. In the current situation they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009427
The secular decline in the equilibrium real interest rate observed over the past decades has materially limited the room for policy-rate reductions in recessions, and has led to a marked increase in the incidence of episodes where policy rates are likely to be at, or near, the effective lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613426
near-term economic outlook, characterised by persistently low nominal interest rates and inflation, and in a lasting low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137689
near-term economic outlook, characterised by persistently low nominal interest rates and inflation, and in a lasting low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012149021
The secular decline in the equilibrium real interest rate observed over the past decades has materially limited the room for policy-rate reductions in recessions, and has led to a marked increase in the incidence of episodes where policy rates are likely to be at, or near, the effective lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012594057
is derived from policy-makers' preferences about inflation outcomes, we first show that downside risks to price stability … future inflation can provide insurance against the materialisation of such upside risks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010200892