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Previous literature has produced weak evidence to support the hypothesis that real economic news affects stock returns. This is, in part, attributed to the difficulty of measuring how investors interpret macroeconomic announcements in different economic environments. In this paper, we choose a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085197
This paper documents that speed is crucially important for high frequency trading strategies based on U.S. macroeconomic news releases. Using order level data of the highly liquid S&P500 ETF traded on NASDAQ from January 6, 2009, to December 12, 2011, we find that a delay of 300 milliseconds (1...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065074
Although the effects of economic news announcements on asset prices are well established, these relationships are unlikely to be stable. This paper documents the time variation in the responses of yield curves and exchange rates using high-frequency data from January 2000 through August 2011....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076594
I document a shift in the stock market's reaction to employment news beginning early 2000s. Good employment news increases stock prices during expansions but has no effect during recessions. Overall, good employment news is good for stocks, a shift from the relationship documented in earlier...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840724
We investigate the impact of monetary policy announcements on stock market volatility in the U.S., Canada, Japan, the U.K., Germany, France and Italy during the 2006-2016 period. More specifically, we study the impact of policy rate and quantitative easing announcements of domestic and foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910263
I employ a classification of headlines from newspapers and wire services to examine whether stalemacroeconomic news affects stock prices. Unlike with individual stocks, the cost of obtaininginformation about major economic releases is relatively low. Thus, stock prices should adjust toeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940134
We examine stock index futures and Treasury futures around the release time of 30 U.S. macroeconomic announcements. Nine of the 20 announcements that move markets show evidence of substantial informed trading before the official release time. Prices begin to move in the “correct” direction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971320
The literature documents a heterogeneous asset price response to macroeconomic news announcements. We relate this heterogeneity to a novel measure of the intrinsic value of an announcement --- the announcement's ability to nowcast GDP growth, inflation, and the federal funds target rate --- and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971842
In the aftermath of the financial crisis in 2008 and over the course of the European debt crisis, the ECB announced a number of unconventional monetary policy implementations with the aim of restoring confidence in the functioning of the European financial system. This paper studies the effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979804
We study the time varying effects of monetary policy on the stock returns in order to capture changes in the effectiveness of monetary policy over time. We find that a one percentage point surprise federal funds rate increase decreases the one-day stock return by 1.33% during the period 1989 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010445