The Bank of Italy quarterly econometric model (BIQM) is a large-scale ‘semi structural' macro-econometric model. It tries to strike the right balance between theoretical rigour and statistical fit to the data. This paper provides an update of the features and the properties of the model,...

The world recession triggered by the financial crisis has impacted with extraordinary violence on economic activity in Italy. What has been the contribution of the various channels through which the crisis was transmitted to the Italian economy? What have been the effects stemming from the...

A standard model-based trend-cycle decomposition of Italian GDP yields a likelihood function that is relatively flat and has two local maxima. A Bayesian estimation of the model identifies output gap and trend components that match the features of the Italian business cycle well. In a bivariate...