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We consider dynamic team production in the presence of uncertainty. Team members receive interim feedback that depends on both their current effort level and the project's uncertain prospects. In this environment, each member can encourage the others by making them more optimistic about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012308721
I present a model of observational learning with payoff interdependence. Agents, ordered in a sequence, receive private … signals about an uncertain state of the world and sample previous actions. Unlike in standard models of observational learning … unbounded strength there is learning in a strong sense: agents' actions are ex-post optimal given both the state of the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022731
history-dependent component to prices of risk. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011719071
demand. The former learning effect, combined with the latter real-options effect, adversely affect firms' entry decisions and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012258487
behavioural models suggested by psychology (i.e., weighted probabilities applied to regret and rejoice theory), and by updating … probability estimations and outcome preferences according to the learning models suggested by neuroscience (i.e., adaptive … learning aimed at reducing surprises), and analogous to Bayesian updating. The search context is derived from experimental …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011703316
This paper studies sequential information acquisition by an ambiguity-averse decision maker (DM), who decides how long to collect information before taking an irreversible action. The agent optimizes against the worst-case belief and updates prior by prior. We show that the consideration of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013365655
In this study, we propose a multi-agent model to examine bank lending and borrowing risk behaviors and their … bank decisions using the temporal difference reinforcement learning algorithm based on banks' lending preferences and … interbank networks as they change with bank risk preferences, and thus facilitates the analysis of the banking systems stability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953234
We propose a framework in order to econometrically estimate case-based learning and apply it to empirical data from … twelve 2 × 2 mixed strategy equilibria experiments. Case-based learning allows agents to explicitly incorporate information …-based learning to other learning models (reinforcement learning and self-tuned experience weighted attraction learning) while using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012432206
We introduce learning in a dynamic game of international pollution, with ecological uncertainty. We characterize and … ecological uncertainty but they gain information (learn) about it. We then compare our learning model with the benchmark model of … anticipative learning induces a decrease in total emissions, but not necessarily in individual emissions. Further, the effect of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050176
role of learning and risk aversion. It bridges two strands of literature: one focused on the role learning for the success … aversion on IEA formation under no learning. Combining learning and risk aversion seems appropriate as the uncertainties … through learning. It is shown that the negative conclusion with respect to the role of learning derived for risk neutrality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059058