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Machine learning techniques have gained enormously in popularity in recent years, but so far only to a very limited extent in fixed income research. In this paper we therefore like to do some pioneering work and apply Boosted Regression Trees to Equity Momentum in the corporate bond market. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826311
Since momentum arbitrage activity, buying winners and selling losers, effectively enlarges the return spread between these two groups, I find that the momentum spread (the difference of the formation-period recent 6-month returns between winners and losers) negatively predicts future momentum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870782
This paper investigates Barosso and Santa-Clara's (2015) risk-managed momentum strategy in an industry momentum setting. We investigate several traditional momentum strategies including that recently proposed by Novy-Marx (2012). We moreover examine the impact of different variance forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968047
Extending price momentum tests to the longest available histories of global financial assets, including country equities, government bonds, currencies, commodities, sectors and U.S. stocks, we create a 215-year history of cross-sectional multi-asset momentum, and confirm the significance of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971740
We test the hypothesis that low visibility shocks to text-based network industry peers can explain industry momentum. We consider industry peer firms identified through 10-K product text and focus on economic peer links that do not share common SIC codes. Shocks to less visible peers generate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972674
The global success of the song, “Gangnam Style”, by the Korean rapper PSY in 2012, was an exogenous shock to investor enthusiasm for DI Corp., a Korean semiconductor manufacturer. Although DI Corp.'s business is not related to the entertainment industry, its co-CEO is the father of PSY....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974176
We study firm-level characteristics that a manager would employ as signalling tools in order to time the market (i.e. repurchases and issues). Following the market timing framework, we develop a two-factor asset pricing model comprising a “market” and a “mispricing” factor, which is able...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005248
We develop a continuous-time asset price model to capture short-run momentum and long-run reversal. By studying a dynamic asset allocation problem, we derive the optimal investment strategy in closed form and show that the combined momentum and reversal strategies are optimal. We then estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006175
In this paper, we propose a stop-loss strategy to limit the downside risk of the well-known momentum strategy. At a stop-level of 10%, we find, with data from January 1926 to December 2013, that the maximum monthly losses of the equal- and value-weighted momentum strategies go down from -49.79%...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006637
This study proposes that the performance of mutual fund managers is linked to how efficiently they allocate attention across assets in their investment set. Motivated by existing models of optimal portfolio choice and rational inattention, we posit that the efficiency of attention allocation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008200