Showing 41 - 50 of 179,662
We build an equilibrium model to explain why stock return predictability concentrates in bad times. The key feature is that investors use different forecasting models, and hence assess uncertainty differently. As economic conditions deteriorate, uncertainty rises and investors' opinions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721618
realized moments - realized volatility, realized skewness and realized kurtosis using high-frequency data. We find realized … skewness to have significant negative effect on future excess returns, on the contrary realized volatility and realized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012010467
volatility in the future. The paper is aimed at investigating the authenticity of the Black’s leverage effect hypothesis and the … frameworks such as CAPM and its extensions are relevant in determining oil stock returns, the level of gearing is irrelevant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011878421
allocation and risk management require estimates of the volatility of these factors. While realized volatility has become a … provide a statistical approach to estimate the volatility of these factors. The efficacy of this approach relative to the use … of models based on squared returns is demonstrated for forecasts of the market volatility and a portfolio allocation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860248
This paper examines the idiosyncratic volatility (IV) puzzle in the Indian stock market for the period 1999 … volatility and future stock returns. However, this relation is sensitive to the choices of portfolio weighting schemes, types of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011887525
The paper investigates the determinants of the idiosyncratic volatility puzzle by allowing linkages across asset … based on Granger causality test have lower expected returns, not related to idiosyncratic volatility. Secondly, empirical … evidence indicates that stocks with higher idiosyncratic volatility have the lower exposition on the indegree risk factor. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011893131
We introduce Implied Volatility Duration (IVD) as a new measure for the timing of uncertainty resolution, with a high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157194
This paper analyses the explanatory power of the frequency of abnormal returns in the FOREX for the EURUSD, GBRUSD, USDJPY, EURJPY, GBPCHF, AUDUSD and USDCAD exchange rates over the period 1994-2019. Abnormal returns are detected using a dynamic trigger approach; then the following hypotheses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012196296
This paper examines long memory volatility in the cross-section of stock returns. We show that long memory volatility … capitalization, book-to-market ratio, prior performance and price jumps. Long memory volatility is negatively priced in the cross …-section. Buying stocks with shorter memory and selling stocks with longer memory in volatility generates significant excess returns of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011750708
We examine the pricing of tail risk in international stock markets. We find that the tail risk of different countries is highly integrated. Introducing a new World Fear index, we find that local and global aggregate market returns are mainly driven by global tail risk rather than local tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751251