This paper is concerned with the estimation of forecast error, particularly in relation to insurance loss reserving. Forecast error is generally regarded as consisting of three components, namely parameter, process and model errors. The first two of these components, and their estimation, are...

This paper proposes a simple maximum likelihood regression estimator that outperforms Least Squares in terms of efficiency and mean square error for a large number of skewed and/or heavy tailed error distributions.

We develop a practical way of addressing the Errors-In-Variables (EIV) problem in the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) framework. We focus on the settings in which the variability of the EIV is a fraction of that of the mismeasured variables, which is typical for empirical applications. For...

In linear regression models, measurement error in a covariate causes Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) to be biased and inconsistent. Instrumental Variables (IV) is a common solution. While IV is also biased, it is consistent. Here, we undertake an asymptotic comparison of OLS and IV in the case...