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new market, we present a novel pricing formula designed to capture the shape of the 0DTE implied volatility surface both … volatility dynamics driven, in particular, by leverage and the volatility-of-volatility). The latter result hinges on an … (through leverage) and time-varying kurtosis (through the volatility-of-volatility). The expansion is local in time and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348685
We propose a new nonparametric technique to estimate the CALL function based on the superhedging principle. Our approach does not require absence of arbitrage and easily accommodates bid/ask spreads and other market imperfections. We prove some optimal statistical properties of our estimates. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028006
Inspired by the theory of social imitation (Weidlich 1970) and its adaptation to financial markets by the Coherent Market Hypothesis (Vaga 1990), we present a behavioral model of stock prices that supports the overreaction hypothesis. Using our dynamic stock price model, we develop a two factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636657
, especially on the BS implied volatility. Implied binomial trees (IBT) models capture the variations of the implied volatility … known as "volatility smile". They provide a discrete approximation to the continuous risk neutral process for the underlying … Barle and Cakici (BC). After the formation of IBT we can estimate the implied local volatility and the state price density …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003727608
We develop a discrete-time stochastic volatility option pricing model, which exploits the information contained in high …-frequency data. The Realized Volatility (RV) is used as a proxy of the unobservable log-returns volatility. We model its dynamics by … competing time-varying (i.e. GARCH-type) and stochastic volatility pricing models. The pricing improvement can be ascribed to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973052
This paper presents a set of probability density functions for Euribor outturns in three months’ time, estimated from the prices of options on Euribor futures. It is the first official and freely available dataset to span the complete history of Euribor futures options, thus comprising over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008901645
along with the specification of (a) the initial density, and (b) the volatility structure of the density. The volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797695
prices, which translates into skew and smile patterns for implied volatility curves even under constant volatilities … the market. collateral requirements, funding costs, volatility smile, option pricing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009375107
dramatically and permanently changed the shape of the implied volatility curve for equity index options. Here, we propose a general …. Further, the model generates a steep shift in the implied volatility 'smirk' for S&P 500 options after the 1987 crash. This … integrated. -- Volatility Smile ; Volatility Smirk ; Implied Volatility ; Option Pricing ; Portfolio Insurance ; Market Risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009381331
straddles; second, we estimate the PVR in a Heston (1993) stochastic-volatility model. In both cases, the estimation is … more negative and its term structure is steeper when volatility is high. These findings are inconsistent with calibrations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011303715