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Commodity derivatives were introduced in India with a dual purpose of promoting price discovery and enhancing risk management in the commodities market. A transaction tax (of 0.01 per cent) on commodity futures trading was introduced in the Union Budget 2013-14. This study examines the rationale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354169
rollover dates. Index providers are careful in choosing their roll methods in order to minimize volatility and maximize the … respective continuous futures series. We compare roll methodologies to see whether they have similar volatility and efficiency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964964
Commodity derivatives were introduced in India with a dual purpose of promoting price discovery and enhancing risk management in the commodities market. A transaction tax (of 0.01 per cent) on commodity futures trading was introduced in the Union Budget 2013-14. This study examines the rationale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807678
We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098
most useful for improving their out-of-sample performance. Portfolio performance is measured in terms of volatility, Sharpe … ratio, and turnover. Our empirical evidence shows that using option-implied volatility helps to reduce portfolio volatility …. Using option-implied correlation does not improve any of the metrics. Using option-implied volatility, risk-premium, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116788
We study whether option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, contains information about future returns, especially the negative ones. Our tail loss measure predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100653
We propose a Multivariate Volatility Regulated Kelly strategy, which has extra penalization on variance compared to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960889
Asymmetric volatility concerns the relation of returns to future expected volatility. Much is known from option prices … about the marginal risk-neutral distributions of S&P 500 returns and of relative changes in future expected volatility (VIX … on long-dated index options. We estimate the risk-neutral asymmetric volatility implied correlation and find it to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938323
We provide evidence that an option implied volatility-based measure predicts future absolute excess returns of the … return volatility shortly before these information events, and the volatility of excess stock returns around these two events …, and also trade on the expected volatility. In addition, we show that net straddle returns (after transaction costs) around …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046741
We investigate the market-compatible degree of agent heterogeneity by identifying and analyzing the full range of conditional beliefs consistent with observed asset prices and good-deal bounds. Our methodology neither makes assumptions on underlying processes nor does it use survey data. It can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134438