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Monetary policy governance - how monetary policy objectives are determined, how decisions are made and who makes them - determines the quality and effectiveness of monetary policy decisions. In this paper, we examine some desirable and some adverse outcomes associated with different governance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015069703
credibility") versus discretionary policy where the Fed reneges on its commitment at all periods with a probability equal to one … ("zero credibility"). The transmission mechanism is the new-Keynesian Phillips curve with auto-correlated cost-push shock. It … includes the labor cost channel or the working capital channel. Discretion with zero credibility of the Fed is rejected. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011695111
impose costs on society rather than benefits. While rational expectations and perfect credibility are generally beneficial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319566
society's loss function. While rational expectations and perfect credibility are generally beneficial with either a price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014114522
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991333
We assess empirically whether monetary policy announcements impact firm expectations. Two features of our data set are key. First, we rely on a survey of production and price expectations of German firms, that is, expectations of actual price setters. Second, we observe the day on which firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159806
We study whether firms' expectations react to the Bank of England's monetary policy announcements by comparing the responses to the Decision Maker Panel (DMP) survey filed immediately before and after a Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting. On the one hand, we find that firms' expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014233608
We explore the consequences of losing confidence in the price-stability objective of central banks by quantifying the inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations. In a model with an occasionally binding zero-lower-bound constraint, we show that an inflation bias as well as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181222
This paper develops and estimates a game-theoretical model of inflation targeting where the central banker's preferences are asymmetric around the targeted rate. Specifically, positive deviations from the target can be weighted more, or less, severely than negative ones in the central banker's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317812
We use narrative evidence along with a novel database of real-time data and forecasts from the Bank of Canada's staff economic projections from 1974 to 2015 to construct a new measure of monetary policy shocks and estimate the effects of monetary policy in Canada. We show that it is crucial to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011777945