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Recent research shows that small trade imbalances are negatively associated with future stock returns. I find that this negative association only exists when stocks have initially been mispriced. In addition, mispricing occurs before the sentimental trading of small investors. In stocks with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064609
Information processing filters out the noise in data but it takes time. Hence, low precision signals are available before high precision signals. To capture this feature, we develop a model of securities trading in which investors can acquire signals (about future cash flows) of increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972626
We evaluate the ability of different asset pricing models to explain the flows into VIX ETPs with long volatility exposure. We find no evidence supporting that investors consider systematic risk when they evaluate VIX ETP performance. Instead, investors appear to follow a simple mean reversion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842630
Prior literature in accounting and financial economics measures asset growth as year-over-year growth in total assets. Such growth estimates are upward biased when firms engage in mergers and acquisitions. We decompose asset growth into merger-related and organic growth components, and find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036298
In recent years there has been a tremendous growth in the influx of news related to traded assets in international financial markets. This financial news is now available via print media but also through real-time online sources such as internet news and social media sources. The increase in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301201
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011716194
We use short interest as an investor-based measure of over/undervaluation that distinguishes between the misvaluation and Q-theories of mergers. Using this measure, we find that misvaluation is a strong determinant of merger decision making. Firms in the top quintile of short interest are 54%...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094979
We find strong evidence that analysts tend to have downward-biased earnings estimates immediately before merger announcement dates when earning announcement date is within a 60 day window prior to merger announcement date. Compared to pure stock deals, acquirer stocks in cash-only deals tend to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017575
We find strong evidence that analysts tend to have downward-biased earnings estimates immediately before merger announcement dates when earning announcement date is within a 60 day window prior to merger announcement date. Compared to pure stock deals, acquirer stocks in cash-only deals tend to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023788
This paper examines to what extent stock market anomalies are driven by firm fundamentals in an investment-based asset pricing framework. Using Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), we estimate a two-capital q-model to match firm-level stock returns, instead of matching portfolio-level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245422