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Electronic trading has transformed foreign exchange markets over the past decade, and the pace of innovation only accelerates. This formerly opaque market is now fairly transparent and transaction costs are only a fraction of their former level. Entirely new agents have joined the fray,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119942
Studying major currencies versus the U.S. Dollar, this paper makes two contributions. First, we document strong comovement in both intraday and daily currency spreads. We also show that currency spreads co-move with aggregate U.S. equity market spreads. Thus, comovement in liquidity is even more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092493
Past trends in fundamentals linked to economic activity and inflation predict currency returns. We find that a trading strategy that goes long currencies with strong economic momentum and short currencies with weak economic momentum exhibits an annualized Sharpe ratio of 0.70 and yields a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904397
This paper is first to establish profound evidence on the existence of a low-risk anomaly in currency markets. In particular, I discover a novel strategy in currency forward markets that is long in currencies whose higher return moments are low relative to past levels and short in currencies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003415
This paper investigates the time-varying nature of expectation formation rules for institutional investors in the foreign exchange market. Using a unique dataset of survey expectations for four exchange rates, we first distinguish three different general rules. We find a momentum rule, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008628
This article develops a two-country, two-good international financial market model in which domestic and foreign residents differ in their beliefs about the future output growth rates in each country. Endogenous differences of opinion generate an equilibrium international sentiment risk world...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008743
exchange rates dynamics in the foreign currencies exchange markets in the classic finances theory; 3) the description on the … theory; 4) the derivation of the time dependent/time independent wave equation in the quantum finances theory; 5) the …/time independent wave equation in the quantum finances theory; 6) the discussion on the developed software program with the embedded …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013057
We built the largest dataset of high-frequency exchange rates so far. Our sample covers the spot prices and order flows of 19 currency pairs over the last 15 years measured on Reuters and EBS at the thirty-second frequency. We show that common, price-based factors describe exchange rate dynamics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018659
theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929226
Over 85% of all foreign exchange (FX) transactions involve the US dollar. I show that the US dollar dominates FX trading volume because of strategic avoidance of price impact. To demonstrate this, I leverage the fact that non-dollar currency pairs can be traded indirectly by using the US dollar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012815985