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-varying risk of economic disaster. Both asset prices and macroeconomic aggregates respond to this time-varying risk. The model is … prices. An increase in the risk of disaster leads to a collapse of investment and a recession, with no current or future …Most macroeconomic models fail to replicate the level, volatility, and countercyclicality of risk premia which has been …
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shocks to aggregate uncertainty, I introduce a small, time-varying risk of economic disaster in a standard real business … risk of disaster does not affect the path of macroeconomic aggregates - a "separation theorem" between macroeconomic … probability of disaster leads to a collapse of investment and a recession, an increase in risk spreads, and a decrease in the …
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Disaster risk and subsequent loss and damage in Asia are increasing at an alarming rate, threatening socioeconomic … gains. Arresting this rapid increase in exposure requires risk-informed development and urban planning - a challenging … levels must be complemented by action at the community level. Measuring community disaster resilience can help lead to novel …
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