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returns have a negative relationship with the volatility, and the volatility process responds asymmetrically to shocks to …, within which the returns have a positive relationship with the volatility, and the volatility is lower and more persistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150229
predictability of excess returns on long-term bonds. Modeling this requires sufficient volatility and persistence in the price of … innovations in the level factor to explain the volatility of long-term bond returns. The model also implies that excess bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938568
predictability of excess returns on long-term bonds. Modeling this requires sufficient volatility and persistence in the price of … innovations in the level factor to explain the volatility of long-term bond returns. The model also implies that excess bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940149
This study examines the sensitivity of the Thai stock market to nominal and real interest rate, and exchange rate risks during January 2004 and December 2015 using quantile regression. The analysis focuses on sectoral level and one main index in the stock market. The empirical results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989457
stochastic volatility model in order to construct highly efficient representations. Initially, the SABR approximation of Hagan et …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907596
We show that short interest predicts future bad news, negative earnings surprises, and downward revisions in analyst earnings forecasts. Moreover, short interest is a better predictor of changes in firm fundamentals for stocks that are harder to short and short sellers appear to have information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086821
Rapach, Ringgenberg and Zhou (2016) claim that for the sample period 1973 to 2014 "short interest is arguably the strongest known predictor of aggregate stock returns", that it "outperforms a host of popular predictors", and that it represents "informed traders who are able to anticipate changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870975
The nature of the relation between stock returns and the three monetary variables of interest rates (bond yields), inflation and money supply growth, while oft studied, is one that remains unclear. We argue that the nature of the relation changes over time, and this variation is largely driven...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813273
-down announcement on March 12, 2020, interest rates were substantially reduced by National Bank of Poland (NBP) to support economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314287
A cross section of 18 Indian banks are surveyed to assess the interest rate risk levels reported by them in their Basel II Pillar III disclosures. The banks report interest rate risk levels ranging from less than 1% to 9%.A regression analysis of interest rate risk levels against ownership,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106464