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bank-level data for German banks, we find evidence that a bank's exposure to interest rate risk depends on its presumed … optimization horizon. The longer the presumed optimization horizon is, the more the bank is exposed to interest rate risk in its … exposure to interest rate risk. The more a bank is exposed to the risk of a decline in the interest rate level, the higher its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011764838
Empirically, bank equity value is decreasing in the interest rate. Yet (i) many banks do not hedge interest rate risk … and (ii) above 50% of hedging banks use derivatives to increase exposure. We model a bank's capital structure, and show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971207
We investigate German banks' exposure to interest rate risk. In finance, higher demand for a risky asset is typically associated with higher expected return. However, employing a utility function which implies both risk-averse and risk-seeking behavior depending on the level of profits, we show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987206
interest rate environment determined by European Central Bank (ECB)'s unconventional monetary policy measures, we consider two … potential upward shocks in interest rates. The opposite occurs for the deposits held by our sample bank at the ECB. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015371419
This paper presents a new test of the present value model of stock price determination, using some of the recent advances in the econometrics of seasonal time series. Unlike earlier studies which generally find stock prices, dividends, and interest rates to be characterized by standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014043638
We show that short interest predicts future bad news, negative earnings surprises, and downward revisions in analyst earnings forecasts. Moreover, short interest is a better predictor of changes in firm fundamentals for stocks that are harder to short and short sellers appear to have information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086821
This study investigates how commercial paper rates respond to the innovations in stock market risk premiums. The unrestricted vector autoregression (VAR) analysis of monthly data from 1997:1 to 2012:M6 shows that the changes in the one-, two-, and three-month non-financial and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090156
This study investigates how commercial paper rates respond to the innovations in stock market risk premiums. The unrestricted vector autoregression (VAR) analysis of monthly data from 1997:1 to 2012:M6 shows that the changes in the one-, two-, and three-month non-financial and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009746049
Rapach, Ringgenberg and Zhou (2016) claim that for the sample period 1973 to 2014 "short interest is arguably the strongest known predictor of aggregate stock returns", that it "outperforms a host of popular predictors", and that it represents "informed traders who are able to anticipate changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870975
stochastic volatility model in order to construct highly efficient representations. Initially, the SABR approximation of Hagan et …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907596