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We investigate German banks' exposure to interest rate risk. In finance, higher demand for a risky asset is typically associated with higher expected return. However, employing a utility function which implies both risk‐averse and risk‐seeking behavior depending on the level of profits, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915170
We exploit a unique dataset that features both un-intermediated mortgage requests and independent responses from multiple banks to each request. We show that households typically are not prudent risk managers, but prioritize minimizing current mortgage payments over insurance against future rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917143
, using bank-individual data for the 2007-2019 period. An important extension to other studies is our breakdown of banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218648
stochastic volatility model in order to construct highly efficient representations. Initially, the SABR approximation of Hagan et …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907596
We propose and test a new channel that links funding liquidity risk and interest rates in short-term funding markets. Borrowers with high liquidity risk are willing to pay a markup to lock in their funding, independent of risk premiums demanded by lenders. We test the channel using unique...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012050871
We use the term structure of bank CD rates to examine whether maturity-transformation risk is priced into the rates … banks offer customers. We find that depositors pay a significant cost for the liquidity provided by bank deposits. This cost …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635687
Rapach, Ringgenberg and Zhou (2016) claim that for the sample period 1973 to 2014 "short interest is arguably the strongest known predictor of aggregate stock returns", that it "outperforms a host of popular predictors", and that it represents "informed traders who are able to anticipate changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870975
This study investigates how commercial paper rates respond to the innovations in stock market risk premiums. The unrestricted vector autoregression (VAR) analysis of monthly data from 1997:1 to 2012:M6 shows that the changes in the one-, two-, and three-month non-financial and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009746049
This paper presents a new test of the present value model of stock price determination, using some of the recent advances in the econometrics of seasonal time series. Unlike earlier studies which generally find stock prices, dividends, and interest rates to be characterized by standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014043638
We show that short interest predicts future bad news, negative earnings surprises, and downward revisions in analyst earnings forecasts. Moreover, short interest is a better predictor of changes in firm fundamentals for stocks that are harder to short and short sellers appear to have information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086821