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-ideological voters, who care about national and local policies, strongly prefer experts. We show that parties compete on good politicians … prediction. We find that politicians with higher ex-ante quality − as measured by years of schooling, previous market income, and …, the characteristics of politicians belonging to opposite parties converge to high-quality levels in close races …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158061
We construct an election game to study the electoral impacts of biased candidate endorsements. We derive a set of … testable predictions. We test these in a laboratory experiment and find that observed election outcomes and vote shares are … well predicted. We find no support, however, for our prediction that the relationship between election outcome and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841512
interest group's campaign contributions to politicians. We uncover a robust hump-shaped relationship between the voting share … estimates of electoral uncertainty and politicians effectiveness as perceived by the interest groups. Our approach also … implicitly delivers a novel method for estimating the impact of campaign spending on election outcomes: we find that an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012773176
We use a regression discontinuity design to estimate the causal effect of election to political office on natural … election appear in the mid-1800s, and grow notably larger when we restrict the sample to later years. We also analyze …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955039
dataset of attacks directed towards Italian local politicians to study how (and why) criminal organizations use violence … outcome and ii) after elections, to influence politicians from the beginning of their term. We provide causal evidence in … favor of the latter hypothesis. The probability of being a target of violence increases in the weeks right after an election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962854
The paper provides evidence for the existence of a midterm election effect. By examining the quarterly total returns on … quarter of a midterm election year and the following two quarters. This compounds to nearly 25% in those three quarters … year of a presidential term effect is weaker than the examined midterm election effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898054
This paper evaluates the effects of encouraging the selection of local politicians in India via community …-based consensus, as opposed to a secret ballot election. While secret ballot elections prevent vote capture by guaranteeing voter … candidates, elected politicians, government budgets and workfare employment at the village level, I show that incentives for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899640
policies and the success of dynastic politicians. Electoral success of politicians depends on their ability to implement better … policies for the voters because campaign promises are empty. Good politicians are more likely to implement the policy that … maximizes social welfare. Dynastic politicians are believed to be good or bad depending on the policy implemented by their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968050
prosecutors, politicians and bureaucrats conducted in 7 states. The paper contributes to bridging the gap between the literatures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861999
The Internet provides new opportunities for political communication. How strategic are constituency candidates in exploiting these new opportunities and what are the contexts driving their choices? This paper envisions the Internet as a means for personal vote seeking on the campaign trail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049406