, one potentially adverse effect of globalization is the possibility that business cycle volatility might increase. Rapid … to unstable international capital flows. At the same time, business cycle volatility in OECD countries seems to have been …

, one potentially adverse effect of globalization is the possibility that business cycle volatility might increase. Rapid … to unstable international capital flows. At the same time, business cycle volatility in OECD countries seems to have been …

the European business cycle. In fact, we find the volatility of macroeconomic fundamentals largely unchanged before and … after the introduction of the euro. Exceptions are a strong decline in real exchange rate volatility and a number of changes …

factor are typically small, with the annualized unconditional volatility estimated at 0.06%, but highly persistent, with … estimated persistence at 0.98. Evidence of time variation in the volatility of the global factor is overwhelming as there are … times in which volatility could be several times larger than its unconditional level (about ten times in the aftermath of …

This paper examines the impact of international financial integration on macroeconomic volatility in a large group of … industrial and developing economies over the period 1960-99. We report two major results: First, while the volatility of output … volatility of consumption growth relative to that of income growth has increased for more financially integrated developing …