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Real estate prices more than doubled in many countries of Central and Eastern Europe from 2003 to 2008. In this paper, I provide the first assessment of whether housing prices in this region correspond to rents, i.e. to cash-flows related to an apartment purchase. State-of-the art panel data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014203535
We employ recently developed cross-sectionally robust panel data tests for unit roots and cointegration to find whether house prices reflect house-related earnings. We use U.S. data for Metropolitan Statistical Areas, with house price measured by the weighted-repeated-sales index, and cash flows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014219293
This paper models the demand and supply sides of the housing market separately. In the empirical analysis, the vector error correction model (VECM) is preferred to identify the impacts of fundamental macroeconomic factors on the demand and supply sides of the Turkish housing market between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049224
The real estate market in China is often subject to government intervention while it is widely believed that speculation is one of the driving forces for the dramatic increase in house price. By controlling macroeconomic factors, we detect two types of speculative traders, fundamentalists and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272704
Demographic and institutional elements as important drivers of the housing market should not be neglected since it is not only financial and monetary elements that matter in the case of the housing market. In this context, one relationship, which still remains unclear, is the relationship...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011924575
This paper employs the two-step procedure to analyze the causality-in-mean and causality-in-variance between the housing and stock markets of the UK. The empirical findings make two key contributions. First, although previous studies have indicated a one-way causal relation from the housing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856853
We use a model and show how inflation and mortgage loans based on nominal interest rates (NRMs), like FRMs, ARMs or IOs, are a source of instability for housing markets. NRMs allocate risk inappropriately and cause economic tensions due to the tilt effect (Lessard and Modigliani, 1975), the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120366
Using detailed micro data at the ZIP code level, this article explores the regional variation in housing market performance to account for the severity of the Great Recession. The granularity of the data, relative to a more traditional analysis at the county level, is useful for evaluating the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835596
nonstationary. This finding is frequently interpreted as evidence of speculative bubbles. In this paper, we seek an alternative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957691
The paper identifies neighbourhood price spillovers in the housing market. Although this concept attracted some theoretical research and is strongly supported by practitioners, it has proven very difficult to show in empirical data. By using the linear-in-means model, which is routinely applied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900307