This paper studies macroeconomic forecasting and variable selection using a folded-concave penalized regression with a very large number of predictors. The penalized regression approach leads to sparse estimates of the regression coefficients, and is applicable even if the dimensionality of the...

This paper examines the finite sample properties of estimators for approximate factor models when N is small via simulation study. Although the “rule-of-thumb” for factor models does not support using approximate factor models when N is small, we find that the principal component analysis...