We analyze the relation between time-series predictability and factor investing. We use a large set of financial, macroeconomic, and technical variables to time-series-manage the market portfolio. A combination of the out-of-sample market excess return forecasts of all variables yields a managed...

We develop a financial-economic model for carbon pricing with an explicit representation of decision making under risk and uncertainty that is consistent with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's sixth assessment report. We find that this approach provides economic support for the...

We propose that investment strategies should be evaluated based on their net-of-trading-cost return for each level of risk, which we term the "implementable efficient frontier." While numerous studies use machine learning return forecasts to generate portfolios, their agnosticism toward trading...

This paper formally implements time-varying risk price models for currency returns. Focusing upon time variation in risk prices, the paper explores four currency risk factors. In addition to dollar and carry factors, we employ momentum and value factors which are widely used by currency...

This paper presents a model that uses time series momentum in order to construct strategies that systematically outperform their benchmark. We find that our one size fits all approach delivers significant out-of-sample outperformance while meeting the ex- ante risk requirements, nearly doubling...

We make a case that characteristics-based long-short factors should be constructed by the slope factor method rather than by sorting methods. This is because sorting does not fully control for the influence of omitted characteristics, rendering them more noisy than slope factors. In contrast,...

Total Portfolio Management (TPM) typically focuses on maximizing the fund level reward-to-risk ratio across asset classes on a strategic and tactical basis. Recent evidence suggests that style exposures provide a material contribution to the returns reaped by asset owners. We show that the...