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empirical evidence presented in the paper illustrates the financial instability hypothesis of the endogenous theory on credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109759
of these techniques does not respect the agnosticism of the theory. These algorithms impose additional sign restrictions … agnosticism of the theory. Without the additional restrictions, it is hard to support the claim that either optimism shocks are an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010240068
of these techniques does not respect the agnosticism of the theory. These algorithms impose additional sign restrictions … agnosticism of the theory. Without the additional restrictions, it is hard to support the claim that either optimism shocks are an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026111
We study the degree of synchronization between formal- and informal-economy business cycles. Using a comprehensive database of informal activity that covers a wide range of informality measures from almost 160 countries over the 1990-2018 period, we report two major results. First, fluctuations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012625110
Wir konstruieren ein neues Modell unbeobachteter Komponenten mit Markov-Switching zur Analyse von Hysterese-Effekten, also der Verfestigung ursprünglich zyklischer Fluktuationen. Das Modell kombiniert die Bestandteile einer Trend-Zyklus Zerlegung, der Identifikation von gegenseitigen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372431
Commission proposes a production function methodology that involves the estimation of two classes of Gaussian state space models … unobserved component models and offers frequentist as well as Bayesian estimation techniques. Additional functionalities include … preparation, model specification, and estimation processes using RGAP. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256541
Short-time work is a labor market policy that subsidizes working time reductions among firms in financial difficulty in order to prevent layoffs and stabilize employment. Many OECD countries have used this policy in the Great Recession, for example. This paper shows that the effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011718992
Short-time work is a labor market policy that subsidizes working time reductions among firms in financial difficulty to prevent layoffs. Many OECD countries have used this policy in the Great Recession. This paper shows that the effects of short-time work are strongly time dependent and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011845664
We propose and implement an index of macroeconomic vulnerability to foreign shocks based on a structural time-varying bayesianVARwith a block-exogeneity hypothesis for a given pair of a large economy and a small open economy. The index is based on the sum of the responses of the small open...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814956
The present work applies several advanced spectral methods to the analysis of macroeconomic fluctuations in three countries of the European Union: Italy, The Netherlands, and the United Kingdom. We focus here in particular on singular-spectrum analysis (SSA), which provides valuable spatial and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010225969