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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011533819
In this paper we study implied and realized volatility for the Nordic power forward market. We create an implied volatility index with a fixed time to maturity. This index is compared to a realized volatility time series calculated from high-frequency data. The results show that the implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208297
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This study investigates whether weekly futures prices, covering the time period 1996-2013, are unbiased predictors of future spot price in the Nordic power market. The results give no clear evidence of bias in the futures prices, except for during the winter period from 2003-2009. In this period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011875
We examine the information content of the CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) when forecasting realized volatility in the WTI futures market. Additionally, we study whether other market variables, such as volume, open interest, daily returns, bid-ask spread and the slope of the futures curve,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011882
This paper investigates the forward premium of futures contracts in the Nordic power market for the time period from January 2004 to December 2013. We find that futures prices are biased predictors of the subsequent spot prices and that there is a significant forward premium in the Nord Pool...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921982
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We examine the information content of the CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) when forecasting realized volatility in the WTI futures market. Additionally, we study whether other market variables, such as volume, open interest, daily returns, bid-ask spread and the slope of the futures curve,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065575
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009510923
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