Preliminary univariate and multivariate regressions, visual inspections, various relative entropy probes, and complementary Pearson correlation tests and Welch’s t-tests all suggest that the copper-to-gold ratio often embeds credible information about the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. This...

Preliminary univariate and multivariate regressions, visual inspections, various relative entropy probes, and complementary Pearson correlation tests and Welch’s t-tests all suggest that the copper-to-gold ratio often embeds short termed credible information about the 10-year U.S. Treasury...

Euro area GDP and components are nowcast and forecast one quarter ahead. Based on a dataset of 163 series comprising the relevant monthly indicators, simple bridge equations with one explanatory variable are estimated for each. The individual forecasts generated by each equation are then pooled,...