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I apply the Johansen and Swensen (1999, 2004) method of testing exact rational expectations within the cointegrated VAR (Vector Auto-Regressive) model, to testing the New Keynesian (NK) model. This method permits the testing of rational expectation systems, while allowing for non-stationary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132222
We use a structural Bayesian stochastic search variable selection VAR model to investigate the heterogeneous effects of housing demand shocks on economic and lending activities and the role of house prices in the monetary policy transmission across euro area countries, as well as the United...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910441
The paper analyzes the convergence of inflation rates in the group of more developed members of the Eurozone (core … countries). What are the characteristics and is the inflation process in these countries sufficiently homogeneous? Are the … analysed inflation rates converging, so that there is an indication that these countries tend to form the optimal currency area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281769
responses of output, inflation, labor share and the nominal interest rate to a supply shock as identified through a structural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137972
. Macroeconomic outcomes are measured by the mean levels and the volatility of output (gaps), unemployment and inflation. We present … point inflation target appears to outperform a target range. Third, the (relative) performance of low-for-long (L4L … space is small, but if the space is larger these rules, while stabilizing inflation, may lead to more volatility in the real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234272
recalibrations were central in supporting inflation. For example, we find inflation would have fallen into negative territory without …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240797
area (EA) and the US. The estimations show that until mid-2014 the ECB’s response to inflation was more forceful when … inflation was above 2% than below 2%. Since then, the ECB’s policy can be characterised as symmetric, and we quantify the … bound and a low neutral real rate, and find that it prescribes a stronger response to inflation and the output gap when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210663
inflation targeting result in a binding lower bound one-fourth of the time as well as inflation and output exhibiting large … purchases. Makeup strategies, especially average inflation targeting with a long averaging window, perform better than inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278603
equilibrium real rate using an estimated DSGE model for the euro area. We find that simple feedback rules that implement inflation … targeting result in a binding lower bound one-fourth of the time as well as inflation and output exhibiting large downward … purchases. Makeup strategies, especially average inflation targeting with a long averaging window, perform better than inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355956
policy in reducing inflation. Specifically, a fiscal consolidation of 1 percent of GDP for two years and 0.5 percent in the …, while lowering inflation. It would also put the public debt-to-GDP ratio on a downward path, with the output costs reversing … risks. In the current context of elevated inflation in all euro area economies, the findings suggest two key takeaways …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352982