I examine the ability of equity market illiquidity to predict Australian macroeconomic variables, between 1976 and 2010. In contrast to existing, U.S.-based, studies, I find that stock market illiquidity does not, on average, have much predictive power over economic growth. Consistent with the...

This paper examines the information content of two different measures of aggregate equity-market order flow for future macro fundamentals and expected stock market returns. The first measure, the cross-sectional average of individual stock order flows, predicts future growth rates for industrial...

This paper examines various state-space and VAR model specifications to investigate the contributions of expected returns and expected dividend growth to movements in the price-dividend ratio. We show that both models involve serious inference problems that need to be dealt with carefully. We...

There has been growing literature on trading volume and overconfidence bias in the stock market. The common phenomenon in global financial markets is high trading volume and the most prominent explanation for this excess trading is overconfidence bias. This paper attempts to examine whether...

This paper studies the predictive power of the trend strategy in the international stock market. Using data from 49 markets, we find that a trend signal exploiting the short-, intermediate-, and long-term price information can predict stock returns cross-sectionally in the international market....

We obtain a unique dataset to examine the effect of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect program, which allows foreign investors from Hong Kong to buy stocks listed in Shanghai (northbound) and domestic investors from mainland China to buy stocks listed in Hong Kong (southbound). There is a...

I document a shift in the stock market's reaction to employment news beginning early 2000s. Good employment news increases stock prices during expansions but has no effect during recessions. Overall, good employment news is good for stocks, a shift from the relationship documented in earlier...

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the volatility impacts of the suspension of a call auction system by the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE) in June 1999, thus extending prior empirical work relating to this area. The realised volatility on NSE is compared with that of the Bombay...

We investigate the relation between downside beta and stock returns in a global context using more than 170 million daily return observations. Contrary to the findings in the U.S. equity market, we show that downside beta does not explain the cross-sectional differences in future and...