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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001198134
trillion. The effect of reserve balances in simple macroeconomic models often comes through the money multiplier, affecting the … money. Nevertheless, some academic research and many textbooks continue to use the money multiplier concept in discussions … the standard multiplier model or the bank lending channel. In particular, if the level of reserve balances is expected to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122094
that standard identification schemes imply different priors on elasticities, generating a large dispersion in multiplier … inference on multipliers. Our results for the U.S. for the period 1947-2006 suggest that the probability of the tax multiplier … being larger than the spending multiplier is below 0.5 at all horizons …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106827
countries give rise to a "multiplier effect": when a shock in the international food market drives up (down) its price … activism. We test this theory with a new dataset that comprises monthly information on trade measures across 125 countries and … 29 food products for the period 2008-10, finding evidence of a multiplier effect. Global restrictions in a product (i …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107748
This paper develops a cointegrating nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model in which short- and long-run nonlinearities are introduced via positive and negative partial sum decompositions of the explanatory variables. We demonstrate that the model is estimable by OLS and that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093594
After the Global Financial Crisis a controversial rush to fiscal austerity followed in many countries. Yet research on the effects of austerity on macroeconomic aggregates was and still is unsettled, mired by the difficulty of identifying multipliers from observational data. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076565
Recent empirical evidence strongly points to the state-dependence of fiscal multipliers which are larger in recessions than in expansions. Yet, standard business cycle models face great difficulty in producing such asymmetric fiscal policy effects. By incorporating endogenously binding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909912
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012819312
We calculate the magnitude of the government consumption multiplier in linearized and nonlinear solutions of a New … that the nonlinear solution is associated with a much smaller multiplier than the linearized solution in long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928700
We calculate the magnitude of the government consumption multiplier in linearized and nonlinear solutions of a New … that the nonlinear solution is associated with a much smaller multiplier than the linearized solution in long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931041