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Total public debt in most emerging markets grew before and after the pandemic with a sizable share in foreign currency. Along this trend, interest payments increased even in the presence of active fiscal rules in some countries. How should debt management of public debt be set under a fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471269
We study the consequences of non-neutrality of government debt for macroeconomic stabilization policy in an environment where prices are sticky. Assuming transaction services of government bonds, Ricardian equivalence fails because public debt has a negative impact on its marginal rate of return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346485
This paper examines fiscal policy without commitment and the effects of conditional bailout loans. The government relies on distortionary taxation and decides between full debt repayment and costly default. It tends to overborrow due to myopia, which induces default to be a relevant policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010225902
This paper proposes a theory of the fiscal foundations of inflation based on imperfect knowledge and learning. The … theory is similar in spirit to, but distinct from, unpleasant monetarist arithmetic and the fiscal theory of the price level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202656
This paper deals with fiscal policy over the business cycle when international financial markets are imperfect. I document evidence that government expenditure tends to be more procyclical the higher is the borrowing cost for a sovereign. Decomposing government expenditure components shows that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341002
This paper assesses the effects of fiscal consolidations associated with public debt reduction on medium-term output growth during periods of private debt deleveraging. The analysis covers 107 countries and 79 episodes of public debt reduction driven by discretionary fiscal adjustments during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071366
The initial government debt-to-GDP ratio and the government's commitment play a pivotal role in determining the welfare-optimal speed of fiscal consolidation in the management of a debt crisis. Under commitment, for low or moderate initial government debt-to-GPD ratios, the optimal consolidation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956478
We assess, via system GMM, how Stock Flow Adjustments (SFA) affect the debt-to-GDP ratio in 65 countries (covering developed and emerging and low-income countries) between 1985-2014. We find that SFAs positively contribute to the change in the debt-to-GDP ratio with a coefficient close to one....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893927
This paper aims to explain why fiscal multipliers are generally low, even close to zero, in emerging economies (EMEs). Our explanation jointly relies on the behavior of the exchange rate following a fiscal shock and on the proportion of external debt denominated in foreign currency, which is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899540
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392477