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We test the hypothesis that low visibility shocks to text-based network industry peers can explain industry momentum. We consider industry peer firms identified through 10-K product text and focus on economic peer links that do not share common SIC codes. Shocks to less visible peers generate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972674
This paper introduces a real-time, continuous measure of national sentiment that is language-free and thus comparable globally: the positivity of songs that individuals choose to listen to. This is a direct measure of mood that does not pre-specify certain mood-affecting events nor assume the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013241697
Assuming that risk premiums are determined by failure risk, we present a stylized model of interactions among risk-proxy variables, external financing, and stock returns in which a common mispricing factor, involving operating profit and external financing, drives the following five asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147129
I study the causal effects of personal investment taxes on stock demand, stock returns, and the dividend policy of companies. I exploit a change in legislation in 2013 which allowed stocks listed on the Alternative Investment Market, a sub-market of the London Stock Exchange, to be held in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243333
We analyze the market reaction to the sentiment of the CEO speech at the Annual General Meeting (AGM). As the AGM is typically preceded by several information disclosures, the CEO speech may be expected to contribute only marginally to investors' decision-making. Surprisingly, however, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755953
Sentiment should exhibit its strongest effects on asset prices at times when valuations are most subjective. Consistent with this hypothesis, we show that a one-standard-deviation increase in aggregate uncertainty amplifies the predictive ability of sentiment for market returns by two to four...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216707
We provide new evidence on investor disagreement based on a model where investors observe public information but agree to disagree on its interpretation. Specifically, we measure firm-level investor disagreement by the intraday volume-volatility elasticity around corporate news announcement. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352473
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448609
An avalanche of empirical studies has addressed the validity of the rank-size rule (or Zipf's law) in a multi-city context in many countries. City size in most countries seems to obey Zipf's law, but the question under which conditions (e.g. sample size, spatial scale) this 'law' holds remained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011734266
We analyse the links between soccer match results, betting odds and stock returns of all listed European soccer teams. Using an event-study approach, we measure positive (negative) abnormal returns following wins (ties and losses). Additionally, we analyse the role, which we find to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940301