This paper examines the overreaction hypothesis on market indices for three- and five-year investment periods using end-of-month data from 49 Morgan Stanley Capital International indices from December 1970 to December 2018. The returns were computed as holding-period returns, instead of...

We find that leverage-initiating stocks experience an increase in return comovement with existing leveraged stocks and a decrease in return comovement with existing zero-leverage stocks in the year after the leverage initiation event. In contrast, stocks that fully deleverage comove more with...

The behaviour of the distribution of stock returns is of fundamental importance in financial economics, in view of its direct bearing on the descriptive validity of any theoretical model. We analysed the behaviour of Japanese stock return distributions using the Pearson system of frequency...

Existing research often assumes that firms’ financial reporting choices influence their return comovement with other firms. We examine the validity of that assumption. First, we provide initial evidence suggesting that similarity in two firms’ disclosures not only predicts, but influences,...

In this paper, we construct a sample of news co-occurrences using big data technologies. We show that stocks that co-occur in news articles are less risky, bigger, and more covered by financial analysts, and economically-connected stocks are mentioned more often in the same news articles. We...

The fierce aerospace competition between superpowers results in a strong public attention to satellite launch events in the U.S. Under limited attentional resources, U.S. investors allocate their attention more to market-level shocks than firm-specific shocks, making stock returns to comove more...

We demonstrate that the parameters controlling skewness and kurtosis in popular equity return models estimated at daily frequency can be obtained almost as precisely as if volatility is observable by simply incorporating the strong information content of realized volatility measures extracted...

This paper tests the efficiency of macroeconomic forecasts, contributing to the existing literature using a rolling-event approach. We construct a monthly economic surprises index, aggregating several macroeconomic news surprises for the nine largest economic areas (G9), which we further analyze...

We adapt an engineering performance metric, the Allan Variance, to evaluate financial time series over various time periods. We then apply this metric to financial time series returns to determine whether an investment strategy consistently beats the benchmark index or such investment strategy...

We compare the stock return forecasting performance of alternative payout yields. The net payout yield produces more accurate forecasts relative to alternatives, including the traditional dividend yield. This remains true even after excluding several years during the Great Depression when...