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This article reviews the main influences on broad money growth since the onset of the global crisis, focusing on the impact of the Monetary Policy Committee's asset purchase programme (QE). The underlying weakness in money growth is likely to have reflected a combination of reduced nominal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089117
We estimate a Bayesian VAR analogue to the Bank of England's DSGE model (COMPASS) and assess their relative performance in forecasting GDP growth and CPI inflation in real time between 2000 and 2012. We find that the BVAR outperformed COMPASS when forecasting both GDP and its expenditure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000571
This article examines recent developments in household balance sheets using disaggregated data from an annual survey carried out by NMG Consulting on behalf of the Bank. The survey indicates that household debt levels remain well above historical averages, but are little changed since last year....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060805
The estimates of potential output and the output gap presented in this paper are not official IMF estimates. The programs and potential output estimates in this paper can be downloaded from www.douglaslaxton.org.The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418061
This article examines recent developments in household balance sheets using disaggregated data from an annual survey carried out by NMG Consulting on behalf of the Bank. The survey indicates that household debt levels remain well above historical averages, but are little changed since last year....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729160
Estimates of potential output are an important component of a structured forecasting and policy analysis system. Using information on consensus forecasts, this paper extends the multivariate filter developed by Laxton and Tetlow (1992) and modified by Benes and others (2010) and Blagrave and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999737