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The proposition that inflation expectations can be extracted as inflation predictions from the government bond yield … of inflation. Examining the sub-periods separated by the adoption, in 2000, of inflation targeting, we find that the … monetary policy regime shift strengthened the relationship between the yield spread and future inflation. The results suggest …
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The present paper uses survey data on expected consumer price developments to analyse the role of inflation … expectations in the inflation process. The survey measures of price expectations are derived from the European Commission … estimates of the New Keynesian inflation model presented here underscore the importance of inflation expectations for the short …
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Did the decline in inflation rates from 2012 to 2015 and the low levels of market-based inflation expectations lead to … de-anchored inflation dynamics in the euro area? This paper is the first time-varying event study to investigate the … reaction of inflation-linked swap (ILS) rates - a market-based measure of inflation expectations - to macroeconomic surprises …
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inflation and on unemployment. This relationship can be motivated by the existence of the Taylor rule. Using micro survey data … mainly driven by disagreement on inflation. Exploring further determinants, we confirm that central bank transparency as well …
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